Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.240867 0.278025 0.318799 0.366832 0.421843 0.482854 0.555631
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.193042 0.243995 0.304895 0.382933 0.480171 0.597238 0.748797
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.151878 0.208697 0.282147 0.383783 0.520504 0.697776 0.944820
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120811 0.179458 0.261001 0.382150 0.557029 0.799717 1.161449
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.097952 0.156478 0.243560 0.381753 0.594646 0.909111 1.407582
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.081097 0.138659 0.229889 0.383801 0.635605 1.029528 1.690228
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.069410 0.126438 0.222287 0.393426 0.689398 1.177527 2.039738
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.058221 0.112635 0.209321 0.391457 0.723340 1.298481 2.364786
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050874 0.104112 0.203742 0.401002 0.778254 1.462585 2.789150
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043082 0.093080 0.191427 0.395672 0.804776 1.579925 3.147603
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.037904 0.086174 0.185669 0.401737 0.853598 1.745149 3.620558
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032108 0.076732 0.173006 0.391381 0.867610 1.844832 3.980096
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029051 0.072841 0.171553 0.404989 0.934853 2.063538 4.620525
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026497 0.069595 0.170940 0.420419 1.008871 2.308015 5.354568
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023266 0.064000 0.163899 0.419801 1.046777 2.480701 5.959637
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020392 0.058682 0.156509 0.416977 1.079066 2.645832 6.573815
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018019 0.054172 0.150264 0.415840 1.115261 2.825492 7.250147
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016101 0.050497 0.145477 0.417584 1.159026 3.029852 8.017906
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014755 0.048183 0.143911 0.427696 1.226352 3.302381 8.997349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013127 0.044640 0.138234 0.425336 1.259791 3.494042 9.798860
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012102 0.042760 0.136997 0.435524 1.329845 3.791760 10.925373
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010729 0.039419 0.130743 0.429646 1.352983 3.967106 11.746968
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009846 0.037536 0.128637 0.436143 1.413879 4.255970 12.929111